Trying to
give a brief strategy guide to Craps is like trying to teach
calculus quickly: 99% of the time it ain't gonna happen. Tough!
Let's give it a shot anyway.
Let me give you my strategy for
just about everything: take the best odds you can get, nudge
them in your favor as much as you possibly can and play smart.
In Craps the best odds on the table are Pass, Don't Pass, Come,
and Don't Come because they give the house the smallest edge.
Everything else is for the impatient, the imprudent or the
"gifted" -- rubes one and all if you ask me.
The Best Bets
The numbers people say that a
Pass bet gives the house a 1.41% edge. And a Don't Pass yields
slightly less than 1.40% to the house. These are the Line Bets
and they're the heart of a winner's strategy because everything
else gives too much away. For example:
- The Field gives away 5.6%.
- Big 6/Big 8 gives 9.1%.
- Horn: 12.5%.
- Craps 2/Craps 12: 13.9%
- Any 7: 16.7%.
See what I mean? Craps is about
dice and dice are about percentages. The smart money gives as
little away as possible and that means Pass/Don't Pass at around
1.4%. Those bets and how to improve them is what this article is
about.
While we're at it, it's worth
keeping in mind that Come/Don't Come bets follow the same odds
and logic. The only thing different about them is the timing as
to when they're placed.
Improve Your Bets
Okay, so the smart bets are
Pass/Don't Pass (and Come/Don't Come). Now how can we improve
the best bets in Craps? The Odds, that's how -- either by
Buying Odds when you play "right" (Pass) or Laying Odds when you
play "wrong" (Don't Pass). These are placed in addition to your
initial bet after the Come Out roll and the reason they improve
your initial bet is that the house takes no edge on Odds. That's
right, zero house. All you're betting against is the straight
dice. But you could spend a long time looking at the felt trying
to find where the Odds bets are supposed to go. The truth is
they're not marked. It's a "hidden" bet, so to speak.
The word is that in Vegas the
big houses simply take the position that it's not their
responsibility to inform the players of all their betting
options, so the Odds stay unmarked. Needless to say, our online
friends are not in the business of correcting Vegas so they take
the same approach: no Odds to be seen. No biggie, it's an easy
bet to make and it will improve your original Line bet by almost
halving the house edge or better, if the house let's you do it.
Placing an Odds Bet
An Odds bet is made by
supplementing your original Pass/Don't Pass bet by an additional
amount after you've made it past the Come Out roll. The bets are
placed right beside your initial bet on the Pass/Don't Pass
line. In Vegas it's typical for the house to restrict these bets
to Single Odds, meaning you can match your Come Out bet with an
equal amount. And as I said, that'll about half the house edge
on your initial bet.
The good news is that the
online casinos I've sampled let you bet double your initial Line
bet. This is called Double Odds and it cuts their edge even
further, to a little more than 40% of their initial edge. So
that 1.4% they originally had is now down to about 0.6%. It's a
smart play. Generally speaking, and assuming you can handle the
gaff, buy the biggest Odds you can find because the larger the
Odds bet, the more you shave off the house edge on your initial
bet.
Buying Odds
When you play "right" and Buy
Odds, you're supplementing a Pass bet and if you win you'll get
your winnings based on the Point. So assuming a Pass Bet of $5:
Buying Double Odds
($10) |
Point |
Payout |
Pays (Win) |
4 or 10 |
2-1 |
$30 ($20) |
5 or 9 |
3-2 |
$25 ($15) |
6 or 8 |
6-5 |
$22 ($12) |
I'm just showing your Odds win
here, not the total. In other words, on a right bet of $5, where
the Come Out roll sets a Point of 10, your total take on
the win will be $40: your original $5 bet back plus a winning on
that of $5, plus your Odds bet back ($10) and the winnings from
that ($20).
Laying Odds
Conversely, when you Lay Odds
you're supplementing a Don't Pass Bet and win as follows (assume
an initial $5 Don't Pass bet):
Laying Double Odds
($10) |
Point |
Payout |
Pays (Win) |
4 or 10 |
2-1 |
$15 ($5) |
5 or 9 |
3-2 |
$16 ($6) |
6 or 8 |
6-5 |
$18 ($8) |
So to follow the Buy example
above, an initial wrong bet of $5 on a Come Out roll of 10 will
yield a total win of $25: your initial $5 back plus its
win of $5, your $10 Odds bet back plus its win of $5.
Now here's another little
trick. Most casinos only pay in denominations as small as $1. In
other words, you lose any fraction of a dollar that you would
otherwise have coming. Because of the Odds your Laying, 3-2 and
6-5 in particular, you're losing fractions if you bet as given
above because most multiples of 10 are not wholly divisible by 3
or 6. On the 5/9 Point you lose $0.67, and on the 6/8 Point you
lose $0.33. Nothing much, you say? But we're talking about not
giving the house anything more than they already have,
right? So let's look at another scenario.
Now let's say you place a wrong
bet of $6 instead of $5. In that case your Double Odds bet can
be $12. And as you'll see from the following table, you lose no
fractions on this bet. You keep all the win you have coming
because all multiples of 12 are wholly divisible by 3 (as in the
3-2 odds) and by 6 (as in the 6-5 Odds).
Laying Double Odds
($12) |
Point |
Payout |
Pays (Win) |
4 or 10 |
2-1 |
$18 ($6) |
5 or 9 |
3-2 |
$20 ($8) |
6 or 8 |
6-5 |
$22 ($10) |
So basically what I'm saying is
if you're going to Lay Odds, make your initial Don't Pass bet a
multiple of $6, and bet full on your Double Odds for a multiple
of $12.
The same logic applies, by the
way, with Buying Odds. Make your Pass bet a multiple of $5 so
your Double Odds will be in multiples of $10. This is optimal
because your divisions are going to be by 1, 2, and 5.
Testing the Strategy
Most players are going to
prefer playing right and Buy the Odds because the payouts look
larger, but then you're playing against slightly higher odds. If
you're hardcore about playing to win you'd be well advised to
look seriously at playing wrong, taking the smaller house edge,
and grinding it out. The gurus sum it up by saying that playing
right and Buying Odds is the more popular and a bit riskier.
Playing wrong and Laying Odds is considerably less popular with
the Craps crowds, shaves the house edge to a minimum and is for
players with a large roll and the patience to grind out the
winnings over extended play.
So I tested the strategy on a
number of online casinos. What I found was the playing wrong and
Laying Odds was definitely to my tastes, which is no surprise
because I have always preferred the Don't Pass bets. Now when it
comes to kicking out for the Double Odds I have to say that I
found it better for my peace of mind, if not strictly for the
best edge, to not Lay Double on every round.
If you look at the Point
frequencies you'll see that there are three ways to roll a 4 or
10, four ways to roll a 5 or 9, and five ways to roll a 6 or 8
and, finally, six ways to roll an Out 7. In other words, when
betting wrong and always placing Double Odds, those 6's and 8's
are gonna turn up fairly frequently and you're going to lose
your bets. In short, it's a game of nerves to play that way and,
speaking for myself, I don't like it. So what I've done is
Double Odds on the 4 and 10 and let the rest ride. What I'm
doing, of course, is betting exceptionally conservatively since
the 4/10 Points are the least likely to show and are therefore
the safest wrong bets to Double up on. It makes for a slow game
but I was almost always able to better my holdings if I stuck
with it. It might not be everyone's cup of tea, but I like it
when the chips pile up and I don't like it when they drain away.
It's basically a style of play that suits my temperament.
Conclusion
So there it is: Pass/Don't Pass
(or Come/Don't Come) only, while playing the highest Odds you
can get will help you shave the house edge to a minimum. Modify
to suit your tastes, as I did in standing on every wrong bet
save the 4/10 Points. And finally, don't give the house your
fractions. Shooters up!